19/01/2013

Who's moving to Ceredigion?

The recently-released census figures showed how the population of Ceredigion is changing, and there has been much comment about the effect of this. 

So who is moving here, or rather, where have they come from?   This page on the Office of National Statistics website (pointed out by the improbably named but excellent Oggy Bloggy Ogwr blog) gives a tool for finding out, albeit slightly delayed. 

In the year ending June 2011, 5,600 people moved into Ceredigion and 5,500 moved out. Of course, with two Universities in the county, a great many of those in both directions will be students. Anyway, below are the top movers into Ceredigion from Wales and England by local authority area for that year. The figures seem to be rounded to the nearest ten.

560 - Carmarthenshire
230 - Pembrokeshire
200 - Cardiff
160 - Powys
130 - Shropshire
110 - Gwynedd
          Swansea
100 - Birmingham
80 - Rhondda
70 - Bridgend
        Telford 
        Wrexham 
60 - Caerffili
        Dudley
        Flintshire
        Neath 
        Wiltshire 
50 - Bristol 
       Conwy 
       Herefordshire 
       Newport 
       Vale of Glamorgan 
       Wolverhampton 
       Ynys Mon 

Lower down the scale, those moving here are remarkably evenly spread through all corners of Wales and England. The tool does not record people moving in from elsewhere.

Image source - http://bit.ly/VdBWKJ

9 comments:

  1. The simple fact is that 37% of the population of Ceredigion is from England. When you factor in the children, it means that Welsh identifiers are a minority. Apologists for this tragic change need to face facts.

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  2. Migration from neighbouring counties is of little significance. It's quite reasonable for those lonely hearts of Crymych to be tempted by the bright lights of Aberteifi, the young farmers of darkest Llanymddyfro to find sweetheart (with tractor) near Llanbedr PS. Or even the desperate and often ignored carnivores of Machynlleth to seek romantic nights out over a decent curry in Aberystwyth. All of this can result in settlement from neighbouring areas and establishment of families. Of significance is the rather peculiar weighting in these numbers of migrants from the industrial midlands of England as opposed to the wealthy London and the South East of England. If you think about it, to migrate into Ceredigion you have to have somewhere to live. For a Londoner or those of the home counties, this is a downsize, a retirement, to the good life. Besides temporary housing displacement, this has little ongoing influence on language and community as they live an isolated existence, till death. However, private property prices in Ceredigion is actually more expensive than in many parts of the Midlands of England, so these statistics suggest something new and significant taking place. It appears that this migration from the industrial midlands are 'family', of lower social status, and may relate to social housing/dumping. A sideways move from East to West. These are of child bearing age. This type of migration is likely to have the most devastating effect on community and language in Ceredigion. Who are these people?

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  3. Quite correct, except for the tense used;
    "is likely to have" should read "has had".

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  4. Interesting trend. I thought the Birmingham numbers would be higher.

    The tool doesn't really say much, as you said, a lot are students. And then there's the Aberystwyth students, or other locals who worked elsewhere, who come back.

    What would be interesting is to see how many people identify themselves as Welsh from this places. I think probably more fit in when they come to Ceredigion than in many other places. It's hard to move anywhere, but it's easier to become part of the community here.

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  5. In answer to that question, I would venture, "very few".
    Census stats,
    55.3% of Ceredigion's population born in Wales (37% born in England)
    47.3% Speak Welsh
    47.6% Welsh only identity
    4,4% Welsh and British identity
    1.9% Welsh and other identity.
    47% no Welsh identity at all.
    A tragedy.

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  6. Should read 46.6% Welsh only identity.

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  7. No comments from our optimists/apologists I note...

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  8. You sound like you want an argument. What's your solution?

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  9. People don't stay still. They move around, to work, study and indeed just to retire. Wales is affected by this more than anywhere else because of our proximity to England. That can't be stopped or changed. But regulations could be put in place to shape communities in the way we want, particularly through council tax on second homes, and other things.

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